Horse Racing: Epsom Derby Trends

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Do we have a vintage renewal ahead of us this year? On the balance of what we’ve seen probably not. But here’s the trends that have been so influencial in finding the winner of the race from an antepost point of view.

Key 2yo trends:

  • 14 of the last 16 winners won their last start as a 2yo over 7f+
  • 13 of the above 14 winners won that last start at a Grade 1 track

General trends:

  • 16 of the last 16 raced no more than 5 times before
  • 16 of the last 16 returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 15 of the last 16 ran within the last 5 weeks
  • 15 of the last 16 had won a Group race before
  • 15 of the last 16 finished 1st or 2nd last time out


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